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Quick Links: “Residual claims make poor investments in times of secular deleverage, until they become dirt cheap.” -- Mark Ungewitter, Charter Trust, New Hampshire |
[click here for Dean's Biography | contact info here] * New: Conclusions
from the World Economic Forum
*
Recent
Video
Commentary: Wednesday - January 20 Massachusetts Repeats the Message... Louder ========= Wednesday - December 30 Christmas and New Years Hope for a Global Present: Principles ========= Thursday - December 17 =========
Conclusions from the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos 2010
Wednesday, January 27 Davos, Switzerland - January 2010 This important meeting is taking place now in the small resort village of Davos. Three thousand world and business leaders join together to discuss and perhaps decide on some action to deal with the world's problems. This year finance will seem to dominate the talks. Through the generosity of the organizers, many of the talks are webcast; this year the webcasts are in HD and add to the "almost there" impression. I'll be joining most of them, albeit electronically.
Friday, January 22 Radio interview with John Budden for Ottawa Radio.
Wednesday, January 20 Interview with Susan Cragin, Concord (NH) Monitor
Friday, December 4 China Has
Started to Speak: America Needs To Listen... A very insightful friend, Ken MacWilliams, sent these
observations. They are so much on the mark, so important... critical even...
that I asked his permission to share them with my friends. They may be the most
important citation I have seen this year... perhaps longer.
Wednesday, November 11 An important and more specific follow-up paper to A Way Forward that we have presented twice... on paper and most recently at the Contrary Opinion Forum. Although we wrote it with a long-term objective in mind, it does seem to have a timely dimension. Each member of the team holds strong opinions on the markets and these opinions may diverge on individual assets classes today but converge on the unfolding of new economic history and the growing centrality of gold and the importance of the Dow/Au ratio in particular.
Monday, October 26 [Updated Wednesday, November 25] Contrary Opinion Forum, Fall 2009 Contrary Opinion Forum, Fall 2009 presentation by Walter Deemer, Mark Ungewitter, Kate Welling (interviewer) and John Budden aka Prof Nicholai Kondratieff (died 1938)... and me... first edit about 90 mins. This is an update of "A Way Forward", a paper we published almost a year ago.
Thursday, September 24 There is a new Pan-Tilt-Zoom camera at Sunapee (sorry, requires ActiveX, so Internet Explorer only for the time being), and a new camera in Weesen showing a set of 8 scenes updating every 5 minutes.
Thursday, August 27 Golden Wedding Anniversary: Klari and Alfred Farha, Zurich, 25 August 09. Wedding video (45 min., 178 MB. format wmv)) prepared by Heini Feichtinger.
Monday, August 3 Congratulations to Carlos Gershenson of the University of North America/Mexico at the seven month mark since he took the editorial reins from the late Dr Gottfried Mayer. You can see improved content and style. Clearly Carlos and his colleagues are putting effort into the project. It sparkles... a noble way to grasp the content.
Tuesday, June 30 The Zurich Chess Club will be celebrating its Jubilee in August with an international tournament. As before, I'm a minor sponsor in the growing attraction of chess for young people and online presentation. This story sets the background for the tournament which will be held in the Hauptbahnhof Zurich.
Saturday, June 13 Adventure
Capitalist
Saturday, April 11 Statement on the Major Impact of Accounting Standards In the spirit of "I wish I had said that", my longtime friend, Ken Macwilliams, has highlighted the importance of real market accounting standards rather than potentially vague formulaic. He and I worked together in the Soviet Union/Russia developing valuations when there were no markets to guide us. We know the slippery slopes that competing interests introduce; today the dominant one seems to be to inflate bank reserves and do so with minimal reliance on congressional action or oversight. Ken points out how well-intended government action can produce... yes, unintended consequences.
Sunday, March 22 Memorial Service for Dr Gottfried Mayer Founding Editor Complexity Digest, Taipei, Taiwan (1954-2009) Memorial message - Dr Karl Newell, Penn State Stephanie's Sketchbook and family photos
Friday, March 13 Jon Stewart takes on Jim Cramer Jon Stewart takes Jim Cramer and by implication all analysts to task for missing the bubble and exploiting it to our benefit.
Thursday, March 5 Explanation of the market bubble and housing crisis by Jon Stewart.
Monday, February 23 We have a new forum do discuss and develop the ideas in our paper, here introduced by Walter Deemer: Dean LeBaron, Mark Ungewitter and I wrote “A Way Forward” in November in response to an invitation from the Financial Analysts Journal to comment on the “new era.” We looked back for a couple of centuries, integrating technical, economic, and fundamental inputs, and relied on a healthy measure of assertions we felt were necessary when venturing into entirely new ground. FAJ, in its wisdom, rejected the article, but the paper enjoys a lively underground circulation; readers are groping, as we are, for answers in a new era, and we hope we might have provided some guidance. In that spirit we have opened a forum where you can speak to us, to comment on things you wish to amplify or to disagree, and where together we'll hopefully come to better answers than we have so far. We invite you to join us at our Way Forward Forum.
Saturday, February 14 Research paper with two friends and Weeden interview on the current financial situation.
Davos Update, Friday, January 30 Report from Davos on Day Two:
This new cam was set up by Chris Gmuer in Switzerland and organized on the lake by Jim Bradley. The cam location is on the east shore of Lake Sunapee (New Hampshire... USA) looking west. You can pan/tilt/zoom and turn on the fish eye for a wide view of the lake. Enjoy! Webcams have been updated at both locations to new pan-tilt cameras. Each site includes links for area weather and information. The Weesen scenes are from my terrace overlooking the village of Weesen, SG and toward the east along the road extending up to the Amden resort areas and across the Walensee to Walenstadt. The lake is fiord-like, the deepest in Switzerland, and ringed by mountains on all sides. Here's a 360° view from the middle of Lake Sunapee
Complexity DigestThere have been many changes in the management and hosting of Complexity Digest recently, and my involvement has ended. The editor's burdens are being assumed by Carlos Gershenson who has been writing for the publication since 2001. The publisher is the Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM), the leading university in Latin America, and its new Center of Complexity Sciences. This exciting group will impact complexity both through its own research and in acting as a source of inspiration for others in its publication efforts. Publication will be on a bi-weekly basis and you can expect to find Complexity Digest continue to be useful in your work.
Please send technical comments and problem reports to webmaster@deanlebaron.com |
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