[ deanlebaron home ]

 

The US as an Equity Investment:

An Analyst Looks at Us

 

presented by Dean LeBaron

at the Contrary Opinion Forum

September 29, 2004

 

 

CONTENTS

 

from AMERICA THE BROKE, by Gerald J. Swanson (Doubleday; August 3, 2004)

Chart 1

Government Spending

Chart 2

Growth in Total Debt

Chart 3

Interest on the Marketable Debt

Chart 4

Percent of Public Debt Held by Foreigners

Chart 5

Borrowing Binge

Chart 6

1937-2004 Total Benefits Paid in Billions of Dollars

Chart 7

Deficits Under Johnson

Chart 8

Deficits Under Nixon

Chart 9

Deficits Under Ford

Chart 10

Deficits Under Carter

Chart 11

Deficits Under Reagan

Chart 12

Deficits Under George H. W. Bush

Chart 13

Deficits Under Clinton

Chart 14

Deficits Under George W. Bush

Chart 15

Deficit/Surplus, 1964-2004

Chart 16

The Real Numbers

Chart 17

The Lie, The Damned Lie, The Statistic, The Truth

Chart 18

Total Federal Budget Imbalances

Chart 19

Projected Total Debt

Chart 20

Dollar Value of U.S. Debt Held by Foreigners

Chart 21

Cumulative Cash Taken from the Social Security Trust Fund

Chart 22

What We Really Owe

Chart 23

The Real Debt

Chart 24

Social Security Trust Fund Deficit

Chart 25

Workers Per Beneficiary

 

from Dean LeBaron

Chart 26

The Buying Power of the US Dollar

Chart 27

Faded Blues—T, XRX, EK

 

from Ian McAvity’s DELIBERATIONS on World Markets

Chart 28

Busted Bubbles Model—Post-Crash Rebounds

Chart 29

Busted Bubbles Model—Bubble Crash Overlays

 

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 1

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 2

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 3

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 4

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 5

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 6

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 7

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 8

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 9

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 10

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 11

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 12

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 13

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 14

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 15

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 16

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 17

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 18

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 19

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 20

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 21

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 22

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 23

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 24

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 25

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 26

THE BUYING POWER OF THE US DOLLAR
IN FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS OF THE G-7

 

The USD as a % of 12/31/00 Value

 

6/30/01

12/31/01

6/30/02

12/31/02

6/30/03

12/31/03

6/30/04

9/25/04

British Pound (G-7)

105.54%

102.88%

97.42%

93.07%

90.54%

83.97%

82.61%

82.74%

Canadian Dollar (G-7)

101.05%

106.16%

101.35%

105.21%

89.91%

86.38%

89.76%

85.11%

French Franc (G-7)

110.90%

106.30%

Euro

Euro

Euro

Euro

Euro

Euro

German Mark (G-7)

110.90%

106.30%

Euro

Euro

Euro

Euro

Euro

Euro

Italian Lira (G-7)

110.90%

106.30%

Euro

Euro

Euro

Euro

Euro

Euro

Japanese Yen (G-7)

109.00%

114.56%

104.46%

103.56%

104.52%

93.56%

94.68%

96.68%

Swiss Franc

111.32%

103.82%

91.91%

86.09%

83.76%

77.08%

78.57%

78.36%

Euro

 

 

base yr

94.56%

86.68%

78.96%

82.03%

80.83%

 

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 27
FADED BLUES

T          AT&T Corp.

XRX    Xerox Corporation

EK       Eastman Kodak Co.

 

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 28
Ian McAvity’s DELIBERATIONS on World Markets    9/25/2004

Deliberations Research Inc., PO Box 182 Adelaide Station, Toronto ON M5C 2J1, Canada – Email: imcavity@yahoo.com

 

Return to Top of Page

 

Chart 29
Ian McAvity’s DELIBERATIONS on World Markets    9/25/2004

Deliberations Research Inc., PO Box 182 Adelaide Station, Toronto ON M5C 2J1, Canada – Email: imcavity@yahoo.com

 

Return to Top of Page

 

 

[ deanlebaron home ]